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  #4  
Old 02-27-2009, 05:44 PM
Igor Chudov
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Default Re: trading illiquid stocks

On 2009-02-27, Beliavsky <beliavsky[at]aol.com> wrote:
- quote -

> An illiquid preferred stock that I would like to buy is currently
> (9:43AM) trading at
> 4.48 bid for 700 shares
> 5.04 offered for 100 shares
> Other things being equal, investors should avoid such illiquid shares,
> but I think this one is extremely undervalued. I wonder what methods
> people use to trade in such stocks. Maybe wait for the stock to open,
> place a limit order at or slightly above the bid, and cancel and
> replace the order daily until filled.


Unless you can see the market depth, your bid will be the high bid
that you will see, so how will you adjust your bid?

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  #3  
Old 02-27-2009, 05:13 PM
Douglas Johnson
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Default Re: trading illiquid stocks

Beliavsky <beliavsky[at]aol.com> wrote:

- quote -

> An illiquid preferred stock that I would like to buy is currently
> (9:43AM) trading at
> 4.48 bid for 700 shares
> 5.04 offered for 100 shares
> Other things being equal, investors should avoid such illiquid shares,
> but I think this one is extremely undervalued. I wonder what methods
> people use to trade in such stocks. Maybe wait for the stock to open,
> place a limit order at or slightly above the bid, and cancel and
> replace the order daily until filled.


You certainly need to use a limit order. The rest depends on how badly you want
it. You could just put a good 'till cancelled order for the most you are
willing to pay. I've decent luck with putting in an order about half way
between bid and ask. -- Doug

  #2  
Old 02-27-2009, 05:10 PM
Tad Borek
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Default Re: trading illiquid stocks

Beliavsky wrote:
- quote -

> An illiquid preferred stock that I would like to buy is currently
> (9:43AM) trading at
> 4.48 bid for 700 shares
> 5.04 offered for 100 shares


This is a problem I've studied quite a bit - the broad topic is market
microstructure. The quick/short answer is probably "use limit orders
near or outside the spread, trade patiently, and be willing to not-own
the stock."

It can be helpful to watch the order book so you see the depth of the
market. Sometimes you can also detect market-maker behavior by watching
shares get replaced (or not) as orders get filled (google: [iceberg
order]). I think a lot of the online discount brokerage firms let you
see that now in real time. One possible source is the Arca Web book,
which I believe is still free to retail investors who register.

On the general topic though my latest read is Stock Market Liquidity,
Lhabitant & Gregoriou, 2008 Wiley Finance - highly recommend it for a
quant such as yourself, if you have an interest in the broader topic.
Also, a good google search term (other than [market microstructure] is
VWAP - it's a measure that professional traders use to gauge their day's
trades. Perhaps some resources on improving VWAP would give you some ideas.

-Tad

  #1  
Old 02-27-2009, 04:41 PM
Ron Peterson
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Default Re: trading illiquid stocks

On Feb 27, 8:48*am, Beliavsky <beliav...[at]aol.com> wrote:
- quote -

> An illiquid preferred stock that I would like to buy is currently
> (9:43AM) trading at


> 4.48 bid for 700 shares
> 5.04 offered for 100 shares


> Other things being equal, investors should avoid such illiquid shares,
> but I think this one is extremely undervalued. I wonder what methods
> people use to trade in such stocks. Maybe wait for the stock to open,
> place a limit order at or slightly above the bid, and cancel and
> replace the order daily until filled.


There is probably no market maker for that issue. You can certainly
pick up 100 shares for $5.04, if you want more than that you might
have to go to $5.10.

If there was a market maker for the issue you want to bid somewhere in
between like $4.80.

--
Ron

 
Old 02-27-2009, 03:02 PM
honda.lioness@gmail.com
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Posts: n/a
Default Re: trading illiquid stocks

Beliavsky <beliav...[at]aol.com> wrote:
- quote -

> An illiquid preferred stock that I would like to buy is currently
> (9:43AM) trading at
> 4.48 bid for 700 shares
> 5.04 offered for 100 shares
> Other things being equal, investors should avoid such illiquid shares,
> but I think this one is extremely undervalued. I wonder what methods
> people use to trade in such stocks. Maybe wait for the stock to open,
> place a limit order at or slightly above the bid, and cancel and
> replace the order daily until filled.


To clarify for newbies, preferred stocks usually are low volume;
relatively few shares are available for buying and selling. It is not
like trying to buy 100 shares of Pepsi, where one is practically
guaranteed to get one's limit price as long as the day's trading shows
the price range included said limit price. With many (all?)
preferreds, the sort of mismatch between shares desired and shares
available at a certain price is, as Beliav points out, common.

In my experience patience with orders for preferreds is key. I think
the strategy Beliav proposes (limit order shortly after opening;
cancel order after end of trading; new order next day shortly after
opening) is fine.

Generally speaking, I wonder whether a fund of preferreds might be a
good small allocation for the typical person planning his/her
portfolio for retirement.

Disclosure yada: I have owned several preferreds, all investment grade
per quantumonline.com. I sold all but one at gains well before the
Second Great Depression started. The sole preferred I own now is way
down but not at crisis levels. (Though this is hard to ascertain.) I
am not selling it but see if I wanted to sell my 700 shares today it
would be tricky. Maximum volume today at one point so far was about
2000 shares.

  #-1  
Old 02-27-2009, 01:48 PM
Beliavsky
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Posts: n/a
Default trading illiquid stocks

An illiquid preferred stock that I would like to buy is currently
(9:43AM) trading at

4.48 bid for 700 shares
5.04 offered for 100 shares

Other things being equal, investors should avoid such illiquid shares,
but I think this one is extremely undervalued. I wonder what methods
people use to trade in such stocks. Maybe wait for the stock to open,
place a limit order at or slightly above the bid, and cancel and
replace the order daily until filled.

 
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