|
#26
| |||
| |||
| On 2008-01-14 10:47:30 -0800, Douglas Johnson <post[at]classtech.com> said: - quote - > People in the original situation often are reluctant to sell the stock, that's > why they are not diversified. So when they want to buy something that > cannot be > financed out of current dividends (like little Buffy's wedding), they > borrow. So > our friends may well have quite a lot of debt. If they have borrowed against > the stock, they could end up with a negative net worth. This is what happened > to some acquaintances I mentioned earlier. Or they could turn the mansion into a bed and breakfast and get income that way. Some European castles are open to tourists for a fee. But I was assuming, perhaps naively, that there is a kind of upper limit beyond which more wealth is meaningless and also a kind of lower limit on the disappearance of family wealth no matter how bad things become. But you are probably right--there may not be such limits. If one becomes accustomed to the things billions can buy, it would be devastating to have to make do on a few hundred million. |
|
#25
| |||
| |||
| Don <dwzimm[at]telus.net> wrote: - quote - > But I
The original premise is that our rich friends owned a house and a lot of stock> would guess that rich people whose eggs are all in the one basket of a > family owned company usually make out OK. Some do drive the company > into the ground and end up bankrupt for sure, but many just end up with > a lot less wealth, but still enough to keep the mansion in shape and > the cars and horses and the beach house in good condition. in grandpa's company and nothing else. If the company goes bankrupt, the stock is worthless, but you still have the operating costs on the house (call it 5% a year) and no income to support it. If the house is worth $10 million, they can sell it as quickly as possible (there is usually a long time on market at that end of things). They can still have a pretty nice life style, but the mansion is gone. People in the original situation often are reluctant to sell the stock, that's why they are not diversified. So when they want to buy something that cannot be financed out of current dividends (like little Buffy's wedding), they borrow. So our friends may well have quite a lot of debt. If they have borrowed against the stock, they could end up with a negative net worth. This is what happened to some acquaintances I mentioned earlier. While they are not likely to end up eating dog food, they might. They certainly lose the mansion. -- Doug |
|
#24
| |||
| |||
| On 2008-01-10 14:20:16 -0800, Douglas Johnson <post[at]classtech.com> said: - quote - > And if they or the management drive the company into the ground? I know a
Yes, true. And I would think avoiding risk and doing careful planning> people who were in that or similar situations who are now bankrupt. You can't > ignore risk. Diversity is the friend of the rich and poor alike. > -- Doug would be especially prudent for the rich who want to become still richer, leave more to their heirs than they started with, etc. But I would guess that rich people whose eggs are all in the one basket of a family owned company usually make out OK. Some do drive the company into the ground and end up bankrupt for sure, but many just end up with a lot less wealth, but still enough to keep the mansion in shape and the cars and horses and the beach house in good condition. |
|
#23
| |||
| |||
| - quote - > You can't
Lest someone claim that TIPS or T-Bills would eliminate the risk, keep> ignore risk. Diversity is the friend of the rich and poor alike. > -- Doug in mind, governments fail, hyperinflation destroys money. I'm not suggesting I expect such a thing to occur, but I never expected to utter the sentence "that's where the World Trade Center used to be." Black Swan events do happen. To add to Doug's point, diversity means across countries as well as asset classes. JOE www.blog.joetaxpayer.com |
|
#22
| |||
| |||
| Don <dwzimm[at]telus.net> wrote: - quote - > There comes a point when even risk need not be considered. How many
And if they or the management drive the company into the ground? I know a> people are there whose only assets are a big house and a whole lot of > stock in a company that Grandfather founded? I would suspect there are > many. That allocation would be considered risky and foolhardy for a > small investor, but for those fortunate people, even if the stock > declined to half or less its current value and the house lost value > too, there would still be plenty of dividends coming in for a > comfortable life style. people who were in that or similar situations who are now bankrupt. You can't ignore risk. Diversity is the friend of the rich and poor alike. -- Doug |
|
#21
| |||
| |||
| On 2008-01-08 12:32:23 -0800, Rich Carreiro <rlc-news[at]rlcarr.com> said: - quote - > kastnna <kastnna[at]auburnalum.org> writes:
There comes a point when even risk need not be considered. How many> If one has enough assets such that investing them entirely in US > Treasuries throws off enough income to provide lasting financial > independence, then doing so is an excellent idea, not a bad one. > You're financially independent. Why risk that by making unneeded > investments in risky assets? people are there whose only assets are a big house and a whole lot of stock in a company that Grandfather founded? I would suspect there are many. That allocation would be considered risky and foolhardy for a small investor, but for those fortunate people, even if the stock declined to half or less its current value and the house lost value too, there would still be plenty of dividends coming in for a comfortable life style. |
|
#20
| |||
| |||
| On 2008-01-08 12:32:23 -0800, Rich Carreiro <rlc-news[at]rlcarr.com> said: Good thinking, but I would want to put some into foreign currencies stashed away in Swiss banks, foreign stocks, etc., just in case the good old USA goes out of business in the turbulent and unpredictable 21st century. |
|
#19
| |||
| |||
| "dumbstruck" <dumbstruc[at]gmail.com> wrote - quote - > "Suze" is a mess re: investments - her editor must clean
For this to be believable, you would have to provide first> up her book > advice. She's made specific fund ticker recommendations > on-air along > with rationale that didn't match the ticker. source citations. - quote - > Much of the rest is a freak show of people who've made
This would seem to be America of whom you are writing. I do> reckless self > destructive decisions, so hard to get interested in > despite some > useful tax and misc info. not call them freaks, since it's counterproductive. They made mistakes. |
|
#18
| |||
| |||
| Elle wrote on [Tue, 8 Jan 2008 17:47:16 -0600]: - quote - > "kastnna" <kastnna[at]auburnalum.org> wrote
Or perhaps that she has enough money and is now only trying to keep> > For basic financial management Suze provides a primer that > > is > > GENERALLY accurate. However, if you apply her advice to > > your exact > > situation, and your situation is not perfectly typical, > > you may find > > yourself "mis-invested". Suze acknowledges this and is > > even guilty of > > it herself (she is invested almost entirely in > > treasuries). > It seems to me your subsequent remarks recant the last > sentence above. Like others, I agree she is guilty of > nothing but investing per her own risk tolerance. ahead of inflation, with no need to take as much risk as her risk tolerance might be. |
|
#17
| |||
| |||
| Cramer mostly likes to hear himself talk. "kastnna" <kastnna[at]auburnalum.org> wrote in message news:64b89fbb-4314-4bff-8cbc-7841b188572d[at]v29g2000hsf.googlegroups.com... - quote - > On Jan 8, 7:50 am, sandybeth <sandy...[at]yahoo.com> wrote: > > Is it a big waste of time to watch TV shows like Susie Ormand, Cramer > > and Fast Money? How good is the advice/info they give, for the most > > part? > > SandyBeth > My $0.02: > It depends on what information you want to glean from the programs. > For basic financial management Suze provides a primer that is > GENERALLY accurate. However, if you apply her advice to your exact > situation, and your situation is not perfectly typical, you may find > yourself "mis-invested". Suze acknowledges this and is even guilty of > it herself (she is invested almost entirely in treasuries). > Does she give bad advice? No. Is it always applicable to your > situation? A resounding NO! > Admittedly, Suze rubs me wrong because of her stance that nobody > should EVER buy a variable annuity. That's simply wrong (google: > NIMCRUT). She may be right 95% of the time on that one, but that other > 5% done a dis-service. That's why I claim she is good in general. She > is not a substitute for certified financial planning. > Cramer is a story of "the guy with the loudest voice gets the most > attention". Will pinpointed the problem with Cramer when he stated, > "I've tracked a few of his ideas that sounded good to me, but none of > them panned out (this is not to say that none of his ideas pan out)." > Textbook example of the efficient market theory and active investing. |
|
#16
| |||
| |||
| On Jan 8, 2:05*pm, "M.Balarama" <mba...[at]sbcglobal.net> wrote: - quote - > "sandybeth" <sandy...[at]yahoo.com> wrote in message
The follow on to Louis Reykeser program on CNBC may as well be "Kudlow> news:120ed0cf-745f-44b2-b2be-0f71cc00ec70[at]d21g2000prf.googlegroups.com... > > Is it a big waste of time to watch TV shows like Susie Ormand, Cramer > > and Fast Money? *How good is the advice/info they give, for the most > > part? > > SandyBeth > I made some really big money from Wall street week with Louis Reykeser-and > made still -he told me 6 or so years ago to get into commodities-so I bought > oil-which is doing well -I have not found another show since then- but I > sometimes watch Cramer and mad money and Company", although as someone said the info density is low and admittedly the yell-fests can be a distracting annoyance. Kudlow had taken over the banner of against-the-grain optimism in the last 5 years of market growth, and following the sector advice, etc would have lead you to a vortex of high returns. Now overly immersed political commentary so maybe best handled by recording and later skipping to the market highlights. "Suze" is a mess re: investments - her editor must clean up her book advice. She's made specific fund ticker recommendations on-air along with rationale that didn't match the ticker. And the rationale itself being a mistaken interpretation of old platitudes that then backfire for her over time, which she eventually changes for another mistake! Much of the rest is a freak show of people who've made reckless self destructive decisions, so hard to get interested in despite some useful tax and misc info. "Cramer" sometimes has a good capsule of market trends in the first couple minutes. Maybe once a week he adds some useful rules of thumb on investing. His interaction with callers may be the most annoying rituals on TV, possibly to make it unseemly for them to be frank and say the reason they are calling is his recommended stock has gone way underwater for that caller. Not that Cramer picks are mainly bad, but if you pay attention the calls often seem to be about stocks he pumped but went really down. He plays the tough guy, but has repeatedly been a cry baby running for defensive stocks at countless little blips on the long past uptrend. "Fast Money" combines a quite unpromising format with a neer-do-well host, and somehow comes up with entertainment and value! I'm a little disoriented by this, but kudos to Dylan and the way it seems to give quite useful sector calls and explanation/education even when discussing stock details that I wouldn't ordinarily care about. Try their free "word on the street" podcast by seaching for cnbc in Itunes - isn't at least the beginning provocative and useful for close market watchers? There is also the Bloomberg channel, which is improving from a slow start. Best of all is CNBC Europe from London, like Geoff Cutmore's Euro Squawkbox program. The web mainly seems to list some novelty stuff from him like http://www.cnbc.com/id/16266794/site/14081545/ but it is a class act. His probes into US and world markets makes the US side of CNBC seem in comparison like a tribe of jabbering monkeys trying to make sense out of an Apollo moon launch. Geoff's show, on the other hand, is more like watching the same launch in the insightful company of the late Werner von Braun while sipping your favorite beverage. |
|
#15
| |||
| |||
| Elizabeth Richardson wrote: - quote - > Above, Will observed he likes Cramer for the
I call this entertainment, but my wife agrees with you...> entertainment value. I don't watch Cramer because I don't call it > entertainment to have some guy yelling at me. There is no reason to spend > any portion of my life having someone yell at me. I am astounded that he has > even one viewer. -Will william dot trice at ngc dot com |
|
#14
| |||
| |||
| sandybeth wrote: - quote - > Is it a big waste of time to watch TV shows like Susie Ormand, Cramer
My issue with them is that the "information density" is very low - same> and Fast Money? How good is the advice/info they give, for the most > part? problem TV news has. You can get less from watching the Weather Channel or network news for 1/2 hour than from spending a few minutes on the internet. I'll take the extra 26 minutes a day please! For most people learning about mutual funds and insurance is not entertainment, it's on par with figuring out how to file your taxes. You want to do it as efficiently as possible, and get to more enjoyable things. And you can get so much more information from reading, in much less time. And if Suze answering questions about variable annuities qualifies as entertainment...well maybe it's time for some serious reflection, a new hobby, a Netflix subscription, or all of the above! I don't think it applies to Suze, but many of the money shows by nature focus on investments du jour instead of the long-term strategies most people will do better with. When someone on TV barks about a stock that just popped or gold or whatever, it lends legitimacy to the idea that you need to care, and react to it. -Tad |
|
#13
| |||
| |||
| "sandybeth" <sandyhb6[at]yahoo.com> wrote in message news:120ed0cf-745f-44b2-b2be-0f71cc00ec70[at]d21g2000prf.googlegroups.com... - quote - > Is it a big waste of time to watch TV shows like Susie Ormand, Cramer
I made some really big money from Wall street week with Louis Reykeser-and> and Fast Money? How good is the advice/info they give, for the most > part? > SandyBeth made still -he told me 6 or so years ago to get into commodities-so I bought oil-which is doing well -I have not found another show since then- but I sometimes watch Cramer and mad money but I am way overweighted in oil right now |
|
#12
| |||
| |||
| "kastnna" <kastnna[at]auburnalum.org> wrote - quote - > For basic financial management Suze provides a primer that
It seems to me your subsequent remarks recant the last> is > GENERALLY accurate. However, if you apply her advice to > your exact > situation, and your situation is not perfectly typical, > you may find > yourself "mis-invested". Suze acknowledges this and is > even guilty of > it herself (she is invested almost entirely in > treasuries). sentence above. Like others, I agree she is guilty of nothing but investing per her own risk tolerance. Per http://www.nytimes.com/2007/02/25/ma...an&oref=slogin , Orman's portfolio breakdown is more like: $24 million in AAA muni bonds $1 million in stocks $7 million in real estate The link above quotes her as saying that has a million in stocks, because, "if I lose a million dollars, I don't personally care." This supports the contention that she is invested per her risk tolerance. - quote - > Admittedly, Suze rubs me wrong because of her stance that
Her site on annuities does not seem to be as black-and-white> nobody > should EVER buy a variable annuity. That's simply wrong > (google: > NIMCRUT). as you insist. See http://www.suzeorman.com/igsbase/igs...xpertiseID=107 |
|
#11
| |||
| |||
| On Jan 8, 4:10*pm, "John A. Weeks III" <j...[at]johnweeks.com> wrote: - quote - > I guess I take a somewhat pragmatic view of the issue. *The few
Well put and agreed John. I look at it this way, far fewer people> people that really need a customized financial plan are most > likely going to know who they are. *And if they don't know, then > they are not likely to be candidates for doing something exotic. > In the long run, I think just about everyone can benefit from > the core of what Suze advocates, and that is living within your > means and saving for retirement. *I think far more people can > benefit by doing that than can benefit by paying big money to > perform financial gymnastics. would harmed by following Suze's advice than would be harmed if they followed the opposite of her advice. For that reason she is decidedly good for us. But I believe the average poster on this group is above "J6P" level simply by virtue proactively being here. Given that, they are more likely to fall into an "exotic" position. Therefore I say "take with a grain of salt". |
|
#10
| |||
| |||
| In article <32c05bc1-ce8f-462c-8923-77881285ebc6[at]m77g2000hsc.googlegroups.com> , kastnna <kastnna[at]auburnalum.org> wrote: - quote - > On Jan 8, 1:35*pm, "John A. Weeks III" <j...[at]johnweeks.com> wrote
I guess I take a somewhat pragmatic view of the issue. The few> > *kastnna <kast...[at]auburnalum.org> wrote: > > > *Suze acknowledges this and is even guilty of > > > it herself (she is invested almost entirely in treasuries). > > > I see that as good, not bad. *If you have a base that is greater > > than critical mass, you should invest that base conservatively. > > After all, Suze once had a broker mis-invest her money, and she > > lost her entire fortune on a market downturn. *You can expect > > that she knows very well what her current risk tollerance is > > as a result of that experience. > I see her investment decision as suitable also. That's my point. It's > prudent, yet it's contrary to her normal advice. Why? Because she's > not the typical investor. A small percentage of her viewers are also > not typical. THEY (but not the majority) need to take her advice with > a grain of salt. > I say again, Suze gives perfectly acceptable advice IN GENERAL > (afterall what more could we ask than that?). However, she is not a > substitute for individually tailored and unique professional advice > (or even learning all the ins and outs of your personal situation on > your own). people that really need a customized financial plan are most likely going to know who they are. And if they don't know, then they are not likely to be candidates for doing something exotic. In the long run, I think just about everyone can benefit from the core of what Suze advocates, and that is living within your means and saving for retirement. I think far more people can benefit by doing that than can benefit by paying big money to perform financial gymnastics. -john- -- ================================================== ==================== John A. Weeks III * * * * * 612-720-2854 * * * * * *john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications * * * * * * * * * * * * http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ==================== |
|
#9
| |||
| |||
| On Jan 8, 2:32*pm, Rich Carreiro <rlc-n...[at]rlcarr.com> wrote: - quote - > I've thought about this myself -- if I ever won some mega-jackpot like
I would do the same Rich and I think Suze is also proper in doing so.> PowerBall, many tens of millions of dollars are going to go into > Treasuries -- so that even if I somehow managed to lose all the other > money, I'd still be able to indefinitely live quite comfortably on > what those Treasuries throw off. I did not intend to imply her investment was unsuitable for her just that her advice is not universally applicable. |
|
#8
| |||
| |||
| "kastnna" <kastnna[at]auburnalum.org> wrote in message news:64b89fbb-4314-4bff-8cbc-7841b188572d[at]v29g2000hsf.googlegroups.com... - quote - > Does she give bad advice? No. Is it always applicable to your
My observation on Suze Orman. I stopped watching/listening to her back in> situation? A resounding NO! 2000, when she observed that while the general investment advice is to buy low and sell high, she recognized that prices were indeed high at the time. Her advice? Buy high and sell higher! Yes, she, at least occasionally, gives bad advice. - quote - > Cramer is a story of "the guy with the loudest voice gets the most
No doubt about this. Above, Will observed he likes Cramer for the> attention". entertainment value. I don't watch Cramer because I don't call it entertainment to have some guy yelling at me. There is no reason to spend any portion of my life having someone yell at me. I am astounded that he has even one viewer. Elizabeth Richardson |
|
#7
| |||
| |||
| On Jan 8, 1:35*pm, "John A. Weeks III" <j...[at]johnweeks.com> wrote - quote - > *kastnna <kast...[at]auburnalum.org> wrote:
I see her investment decision as suitable also. That's my point. It's> > *Suze acknowledges this and is even guilty of > > it herself (she is invested almost entirely in treasuries). > I see that as good, not bad. *If you have a base that is greater > than critical mass, you should invest that base conservatively. > After all, Suze once had a broker mis-invest her money, and she > lost her entire fortune on a market downturn. *You can expect > that she knows very well what her current risk tollerance is > as a result of that experience. prudent, yet it's contrary to her normal advice. Why? Because she's not the typical investor. A small percentage of her viewers are also not typical. THEY (but not the majority) need to take her advice with a grain of salt. I say again, Suze gives perfectly acceptable advice IN GENERAL (afterall what more could we ask than that?). However, she is not a substitute for individually tailored and unique professional advice (or even learning all the ins and outs of your personal situation on your own). |
| Tags |
| investment, shows |
Similar Threads | ||||
| Thread | Forum | Replies | Last Post | |
| new investment acct: Fidelity only shows 2 of my 4 accounts chris: If I login to Fidelity Investments I can see 4 accounts of mine. When I add the acct with Money it only shows me 2 accounts after an online... | Microsoft Money | 5 | 12-11-2008 04:29 PM | |
| Investment summary still shows closed accounts sumpteretc: I know this has been addressed before, and I think I've tried the fixes to no avail, but I'd like to try again. I've searched the database and can't... | Microsoft Money | 15 | 01-13-2007 08:07 PM | |
| Investment accounts shows the gains / losses only rvsw: Hi My problem can be stated thus: Objective: To find out my total net worth. Problem: Let's say I have an investment account 'A'. If I have... | Microsoft Money | 1 | 11-28-2004 12:59 PM | |
| Thread Tools | |
| Display Modes | |
| |