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  #5  
Old 08-21-2007, 03:59 PM
Mark Freeland
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Default Re: FED will continue to drop interest rates

"bondguy1824" <bondguy1824[at]gmail.com> wrote in message
news:1187654090.789931.219310[at]r34g2000hsd.googlegroups.com...
- quote -

> On Aug 20, 8:43 am, "Robert" <b...[at]caching.cn> wrote:
> > now that the overnight is at 5.75, long term rates will be cut to 5.0
> > next month and
> > from there, they will drop again to 3% or lower
> > > bonds will take a hit

> What bonds are you talking about? Joe is right, and as the WSJ is so
> quick to point out, bond prices move inversely to interest rates.


Since you bring up the WSJ, here's what they had to say yesterday (Monday):

"[Headline] Longer-Dated Treasury Issues May Bear Brunt of a Rate Cut ...

"Friday['s rate] cut ... was enough to prompt a significant drop in the
prices of long-dated Treasuries. ...

"[L]ong-dated Treasuries [] would suffer most from a hasty cut, which could
hit the 10-and 30-year issues with the full force of inflation concerns. ...
Should investors decide that the Fed has taken its eye off inflation, they
will demand far higher premiums for holding long-term interest-rate risk."

Mark Freeland
BnetOnewsX[at]sbcglobal.net

  #4  
Old 08-21-2007, 02:27 PM
rick++
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Default Re: FED will continue to drop interest rates


- quote -

> now that the overnight is at 5.75, long term rates will be cut to 5.0 next month and
> from there, they will drop again to 3% or lower


The "market rate" for short term bonds was 3.09% yeasterday.
The huge disconnect between the Fed and the market can
mean many things- almost none of them good.

  #3  
Old 08-21-2007, 09:19 AM
bondguy1824
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Default Re: FED will continue to drop interest rates

On Aug 20, 8:43 am, "Robert" <b...[at]caching.cn> wrote:
- quote -

> now that the overnight is at 5.75, long term rates will be cut to 5.0 next month and
> from there, they will drop again to 3% or lower
> bonds will take a hit


What bonds are you talking about? Joe is right, and as the WSJ is so
quick to point out, bond prices move inversely to interest rates.

  #2  
Old 08-20-2007, 02:44 PM
Will Trice
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Default Re: FED will continue to drop interest rates



Robert wrote:
- quote -

> now that the overnight is at 5.75, long term rates will be cut to 5.0
> next month and from there, they will drop again to 3% or lower
> bonds will take a hit


I'm still waiting for the "very significant correction". We could still
get there...

-Will

  #1  
Old 08-20-2007, 01:15 PM
Dave Dodson
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Default Re: FED will continue to drop interest rates

On Aug 20, 7:43 am, "Robert" <b...[at]caching.cn> wrote:
- quote -

> now that the overnight is at 5.75, long term rates will be cut to 5.0 next month and
> from there, they will drop again to 3% or lower
> bonds will take a hit


Hmmm. Generally, if interest rates go down, the price of bonds goes
up. Why do you think bonds will go down?

Dave

 
Old 08-20-2007, 01:14 PM
joetaxpayer
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Default Re: FED will continue to drop interest rates



Robert wrote:
- quote -

> now that the overnight is at 5.75, long term rates will be cut to 5.0
> next month and from there, they will drop again to 3% or lower
> bonds will take a hit


Rates fall, bonds' value rises. Generally speaking. Anything else would
be an anomaly.

JOE

  #-1  
Old 08-20-2007, 12:43 PM
Robert
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Posts: n/a
Default FED will continue to drop interest rates

now that the overnight is at 5.75, long term rates will be cut to 5.0 next month and
from there, they will drop again to 3% or lower

bonds will take a hit

 

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