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#43
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| "joetaxpayer" <joetaxpayer[at]nospam.com> wrote in message news:kaKdnfFxQp8EX-3YnZ2dnUVZ_tidnZ2d[at]comcast.com... - quote - > AHE - your email address bounced on me as 'not valid'.
colbalt1177[at]hotmail.com Watch the spelling ![]() |
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#42
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| "Bucky" <uw_badgers[at]email.com> wrote in message news:1165013622.308666.298170[at]n67g2000cwd.googlegroups.com... - quote - > joetaxpayer wrote:
Capital gains, at least in Canada are taxable at much lower rates than other> > Over 20 years, it takes .87% in incremental expenses to negate the > > pre-tax benefit. > I thought of another factor too. Those assumptions also mean that you > cannot sell the investments in the taxable account. Otherwise, you will > have to pay the cap gains that year. Even with a buy and hold > philosophy, you will probably be doing some rebalancing every few > years, which will reduce the effective annual return. In the > tax-deferred account, rebalancing has no tax impact. forms of income. That said Capital gains Losses mean a tax refund of sort so there is incentive to dispose of underperforming or declining positions. I also believe that capital gains and losses can be carried forward for a few more years. I know the losses are anyways, but I'll have to double check the gains as well. You can have a stellar year in your taxable investments and offset that with your dismal year from say 2 years prior to balance the tax penalty. In many cases don't most mutual funds or other fund managing firms pay your taxes in those funds on your behalf? I've selective funds that pay dividends as well has having solid large cap companies and dividends are taxable for me at 8.5% but the fund company pays those on my behalf based on how many fund shares I own, then disperses the dividends either to my account or reinvests the dividends... Also in Canada many companies converted to a form of trust unit so that profits are dispersed to unit holders (Is that what a REIT is?). The government here saw they were going to lose about 500 million in corporate taxes a year so they elected to stop the practise of tax free profit dispersal by 2010 or 2011 (causing a 20 billion dollar wipe-out of security assets in a day for a nation of 30 million people). |
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#41
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| <BreadWithSpam[at]fractious.net> wrote in message news:yobodqoh2jq.fsf[at]panix3.panix.com... - quote - > > (given your rate-of-return and tax rate assumptions) the Roth IRA and
This is correct if one is not maxing out the IRA. Otherwise (with the same> > a traditional pre-tax IRA end up with exactly the same value after > > taxes. > That one sometimes surprises folks. It shouldn't, if one > writes out the math, it's just a slight rearrangement of > the same formula. assumptions, viz. no change in tax rates), the Roth comes out better. The reason is that the Roth lets you shelter more money (when viewed in terms of post-tax value). Using essentially the same assumptions, except we'll say that the person has $5K, pre-tax, and the contribution limit is $4K ... Traditional IRA: Invest $4K, pre-tax. Pay $250 taxes on the remaining $1K, leaving $750 outside of the IRA. Grow at 8% annual: now have $8,640 in IRA, $1,620 outside. Pay 25% taxes on the IRA, 15% taxes on the taxable gain, leaving: $6,480 (net IRA) + $750 (orig. basis) + .85 * $870 (gain) = $7,969.50. Roth IRA: Invest $4K, using remaining $1K to pay taxes on it. Grow at 8% annual: now have $8,640. - quote - > One more minor note - a Variable Annuity works out identical
Assuming that you are talking about Fidelity's annuity (Vanguard's costs> to the non-deductible traditional IRA - ie. the worst case - > except that it has *additional* drag in the form of ongoing > annuity fees (the lowest in the industry is still 25bp) and > the funds available inside them invariably have higher expenses > than similar investments one may make outside the VA. 30bp), note: - "Similar" investments are not the same funds; Fidelity's VIP funds used in annuities not only have separate portfolios, the funds often have different managers, e.g. Mid Cap (Perkins) vs. VIP Mid Cap (Allen). - The VIP funds may have higher or lower expenses, e.g. Contrafund's expense ratio is 0.90%, while VIP Contra's is 0.79% (plus the annuity expenses, of course) For investments over $96K, there is a noload annuity with an even lower drag - Jefferson National offers an annuity with a flat $240/year fee. http://www.jeffnat.com/aboutourfunds/ (with thanks to another poster on misc.invest.mutual-funds, about a year ago). Mark Freeland BnetOnewsX[at]sbcglobal.net |
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#40
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| Elizabeth Richardson wrote: - quote - > > The key parameter related to the case that JOE was talking about is the
Because to answer the question "should I fund my pre-tax account as much> > total return. For the taxable account, the annual return is reduced by > > 0.22% (1.5% dividends taxed at 15% rate). For the tax-deferred account, > > the total return is reduced by 1% assuming greater expense ratio. > And if you have Vanguard funds in your tax-deferred account? Why are we > assuming greater expense ratio in the tax-deferred accounts? > Elizabeth Richardson as I can or invest post-tax (but not Roth)?" I proposed that it would be good to know the expenses within the pre-tax account. Then I ran a spreadsheet or two, and found that holding tax rates even, (going in and comming out) that the pre-tax account was favorable unless its expense was about .85% higher. It wasn't an assumption, it was a calculated breakeven point (for a 20 year time horizen). JOE |
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#39
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| - quote - > The key parameter related to the case that JOE was talking about is the > total return. For the taxable account, the annual return is reduced by > 0.22% (1.5% dividends taxed at 15% rate). For the tax-deferred account, > the total return is reduced by 1% assuming greater expense ratio. And if you have Vanguard funds in your tax-deferred account? Why are we assuming greater expense ratio in the tax-deferred accounts? Elizabeth Richardson |
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#38
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| Bucky wrote: - quote - > Afterwards Hilarity Ensued wrote: > > Send a copy of your spreadsheet to colbalt177[at]hotmail.com for me please with > > cherries on top. I would really appreciate. Maybe I can build upon it > > somehow. > I created a simple version with Google Spreadsheets so that everyone > can view it. In order to play with the parameters, you need to do File > > Copy Spreadsheet (and you'll need a google account too). > http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...Dz1viBhM4UujZA > The key parameter related to the case that JOE was talking about is the > total return. For the taxable account, the annual return is reduced by > 0.22% (1.5% dividends taxed at 15% rate). For the tax-deferred account, > the total return is reduced by 1% assuming greater expense ratio. your "tax deferred" looks right. I get the $56045 as well. the "taxable" seems off. The first year, 10K gives off $150 in dividends, which nets $128 after tax. You need to keep a tally of reinvested dividends, so in my sheet, reinvested dividends adds up to $7119, which isn't taxed again, as it's added to basis. Taxable gain is $47457 and the net final number for me is $57457. My spreadsheet requires a calculation line each year to tally the dividend, so it won't likely fit on one page the way Google or iRows sets up. I need to spend time to see if it makes sense to load it there. AHE - your email address bounced on me as 'not valid'. JOE |
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#37
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| joetaxpayer wrote: - quote - > Over 20 years, it takes .87% in incremental expenses to negate the
I thought of another factor too. Those assumptions also mean that you> pre-tax benefit. cannot sell the investments in the taxable account. Otherwise, you will have to pay the cap gains that year. Even with a buy and hold philosophy, you will probably be doing some rebalancing every few years, which will reduce the effective annual return. In the tax-deferred account, rebalancing has no tax impact. |
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#36
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| Afterwards Hilarity Ensued wrote: - quote - > Send a copy of your spreadsheet to colbalt177[at]hotmail.com for me please with
I created a simple version with Google Spreadsheets so that everyone> cherries on top. I would really appreciate. Maybe I can build upon it > somehow. can view it. In order to play with the parameters, you need to do File - quote - > Copy Spreadsheet (and you'll need a google account too). http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?k...Dz1viBhM4UujZA The key parameter related to the case that JOE was talking about is the total return. For the taxable account, the annual return is reduced by 0.22% (1.5% dividends taxed at 15% rate). For the tax-deferred account, the total return is reduced by 1% assuming greater expense ratio. |
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#35
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| Looking through the various Canadian retirement options, here's what the rough analogs seem like: CRA = IRS CPP = Social Security QPP = Social Security for Quebec'rs RPP = 401K RSPP = IRA QIC = Annuity My spreadsheet also agrees with you. If 100% capital gains in taxable, the threshold is about ~0.85% in extra expenses. If it's a balanced portfolio of dividend payers+REITS+bonds+etc, the threshold is more about ~1.35%. Of course, if you do both taxable and tax-deferred, you should split out LTCG stuff in taxable and dividends/REITS/bonds in tax-deferred for maximum bang. joetaxpayer wrote: - quote - > Over 20 years, it takes .87% in incremental expenses to negate the > pre-tax benefit. |
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#34
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| "joetaxpayer" <joetaxpayer[at]nospam.com> wrote in message news:5N6dnXoT8KOa4vLYnZ2dnUVZ_ridnZ2d[at]comcast.com... - quote - > Ok. I ran a spreadsheet which I am happy to forward or post.
Send a copy of your spreadsheet to colbalt177[at]hotmail.com for me please withcherries on top. I would really appreciate. Maybe I can build upon it somehow. I'm contributing equal amounts of money to both sheltered and non sheltered investments and I'd like to play with some numbers and see what sort of returns "might" be in the future. It'll let me know if I'm being too conservative or too aggressive and hopeful..... |
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#33
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| mea culpa, you are right. I was fixated on the fact that assuming the same initial tax rate and withdrawal tax rate, tax-sheltered accounts will always beat a non-sheltered account. But I was overlooking the fact that long term cap gains are 15%, which essentially lowers the non-sheltered account's withdrawal tax rate to 15%. In which case a 1% expense ratio difference will make the non-sheltered account the better choice. Learn something new everyday! |
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#32
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| Bucky wrote: - quote - > joetaxpayer wrote:
Ok. I ran a spreadsheet which I am happy to forward or post.> > If it were, my observation of 401k high fee vs post tax ETF, low fee > > would hold. > Not likely. The only way that a non-sheltered investment could beat a > tax-sheltered investment (IRA/401K/RRSP) is if the expense ratio > savings was greater than the tax savings. Given a 30% tax rate and a 7% > annual return, you're looking at tax savings of about 2-3%. Differences > in expense ratios are more like 1%. Assumptions; Taxable Account $10,000 deposit Total return of 10%/yr, 8.5% is long term, 1.5% is dividends taxed each year at 15%. The growth is taxed at 15% at withdrawal. End of year 20 - $64,576 gross, net is $57457 (The LT gain was $47457 and is taxed 15% or $7119). 401K Investment is $13,889 (the gross up of $10,000/.72) Growth of 10% - .87% extra expense = 9.13%/yr. 20 years later $79863, tax is $22,362, net of $57,396 Over 20 years, it takes .87% in incremental expenses to negate the pre-tax benefit. For this exercise I used 28% tax rate, and didn't attempt to 'stack the deck' by using a lower rate in early years and the 28% for the withdrawal. Remember, the expense is every year, compounded. The 2-3% 'savings' you cite are mostly recouped at the end withdrawal. (BTW - If I drop the return to 7%/yr, the numbers move to my favor, and an expense difference of .69% is the break even, holding the tax rates and time the same) JOE |
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#31
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| zxcvbob <zxcvbob[at]charter.net> writes: - quote - > BreadWithSpam[at]fractious.net wrote:
That one sometimes surprises folks. It shouldn't, if one> > Exception - non-deductible contribution to a regular IRA: > Thanks for breaking out the examples like that. It's interesting that > (given your rate-of-return and tax rate assumptions) the Roth IRA and > a traditional pre-tax IRA end up with exactly the same value after > taxes. writes out the math, it's just a slight rearrangement of the same formula. One more minor note - a Variable Annuity works out identical to the non-deductible traditional IRA - ie. the worst case - except that it has *additional* drag in the form of ongoing annuity fees (the lowest in the industry is still 25bp) and the funds available inside them invariably have higher expenses than similar investments one may make outside the VA. The VA, however, retains some of the advantages of the non-deductible IRA - ie. not included in typical fin-aid calcs. Not really to start in on VAs, but I still haven't seen any cases where they make a lot of sense. FWIW, the conditions which make an after-tax investment come out ahead of a non-deductible one are pretty hard to make real, so I figure that a non-deductible IRA versus a regular investment is probably a wash financially, and a win based on some of the additional protections the IRA affords (ie. against creditors, etc) -- Plain Bread alone for e-mail, thanks. The rest gets trashed. No HTML in E-Mail! -- http://www.expita.com/nomime.html Are you posting responses that are easy for others to follow? http://www.greenend.org.uk/rjk/2000/06/14/quoting |
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#30
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| joetaxpayer wrote: - quote - > If it were, my observation of 401k high fee vs post tax ETF, low fee
Not likely. The only way that a non-sheltered investment could beat a> would hold. tax-sheltered investment (IRA/401K/RRSP) is if the expense ratio savings was greater than the tax savings. Given a 30% tax rate and a 7% annual return, you're looking at tax savings of about 2-3%. Differences in expense ratios are more like 1%. |
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#29
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| BreadWithSpam[at]fractious.net wrote: - quote - > Exception - non-deductible contribution to a regular IRA:
No, I'm not smart enough to have been thinking about that case.> Pay taxes on the $100k: leaving $75k to invest > Grow the $75k at 8%: now have $162k > Sell it all: $75k is basis, $87k is taxed as *income* at > the higher rate of 25%: $75k + (0.75 * $87k) = $140.25 spendable. > Perhaps this exceptional scenario is the one Bob was thinking > of - it certainly should give folks pause when they think > about investing via non-deductible contributions to a traditional IRA. > Note, though, that there are some very contrived assumptions > which make this exception the loser - in particular, the > assumption of perfect tax efficiency. Thanks for breaking out the examples like that. It's interesting that (given your rate-of-return and tax rate assumptions) the Roth IRA and a traditional pre-tax IRA end up with exactly the same value after taxes. Best regards, Bob |
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#28
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| wyu[at]talisys.com wrote: - quote - > Those fees are very high but I suspect he would also get the same level
I've not researched the RRSP details. This suggests it's not like our> of fees in a taxable account considering he has a broker/advisor > picking the investments for him. Reading up on Canada's RRSP, it sounds > like an IRA with much higher contribution limits (18K per year). If > desired, anybody could do a self-directed RRSP and save on all the > fees. 401k account with a fixed list of funds. If it were, my observation of 401k high fee vs post tax ETF, low fee would hold. If OP chooses to spend the fees regardless, then your spreadsheets are valid, and the difference between pre and post tax is in favor of pre. OP should read, and read some more, then consider what his choices are. The index route (even just SPY, and maybe a mix of smaller cap, and/or DVY) is likely his better choice. JOE |
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#27
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| BreadWithSpam[at]fractious.net wrote: - quote - > Assuming the same investment and
Exactly.> the same return (and even 100% tax-efficiency - no > dividends along the way, no turnover) - the 401k, IRA, > whether Roth or not - always wins. - quote - > With one exception -
Right. I don't think that is the case for the OP though. He has not> if the original investment is a non-deductible one: maxed out his RRSP, so increasing it is still deductible. |
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#26
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| One comment: dont expect these projections to be necessary true over the next 20 to 50 years or more. The tax landscape has changed drastically the past 25 years and there is no indication of that slowing down. Income and gains rates have changes. Most of the accounts people are talking about now did not exist then. So what to do about it? - save, save, save. Its better to save in some way, rather than agonize over the best way and save too little. - take advantage of clear wins first like the "instant income" of retirement matching. - look at maximizing return rather than minimizing taxes. - (controversial) dont put all your savings in the same kind of account for when the tax laws change again. |
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#25
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| wyu[at]talisys.com writes: - quote - > zxcvbob wrote:
Here - assuming 100k pre-tax to start with, 8% compounding, 15% cap> > If you have a taxable account and you invest in stocks that you can buy > > and hold forever (let's say Berkshire Hathaway, or an ETF like SPY) most > > of your taxes are deferred until you sell them 30 years from now. Then, > > the earnings are taxed at the long-term capital gains. Assuming capital > > gains are taxed at a lower rate than ordinary income, you would be much > > better off with your money in a plain old brokerage account rather than > > an IRA or other tax-deferred retirement account. > Popping your proposed case right now into the spreadsheet. Taxable at > 15%, 0% turnover. 401K/IRA at 25% tax. And we get the following numbers > after-tax: > 10 years: 150K taxable versus 159K tax-deferred > 20 years: 517K versus 572K > 30 years: 1.44M versus 1.64M gains rate and 25% income-tax rate, 10 years: Taxable: pay taxes on the $100k: leaving $75k to invest Grow the $75k at 8% annual: balance grows to $162k sell it all - 75k is the cost basis, pay cap-gains taxes on 87k: 75 + (87 * 0.85) = $148k to spend. IRA: Pay no taxes now. Invest $100k Grow at 8% annual: now have $216k, never taxes. Sell it all and pay income taxes of 25%: spend $162k. Roth IRA: Pay taxes now on the $100k, invest $75k Grow at 8% annual: Now have $162k No more taxes due - the whole $162 is spendable. The difference is huge - and gets bigger over time - and is due entirely to the fact that the compounded growth - even at lower cap-gains rates - gets taxed in the taxable account. Note that $162 number which pops up in all three scenarios. Unless you can invest the original capital pre-tax, the lower cap-gains rate doesn't do you any good for winning this race. Assuming the same investment and the same return (and even 100% tax-efficiency - no dividends along the way, no turnover) - the 401k, IRA, whether Roth or not - always wins. With one exception - if the original investment is a non-deductible one: Exception - non-deductible contribution to a regular IRA: Pay taxes on the $100k: leaving $75k to invest Grow the $75k at 8%: now have $162k Sell it all: $75k is basis, $87k is taxed as *income* at the higher rate of 25%: $75k + (0.75 * $87k) = $140.25 spendable. Perhaps this exceptional scenario is the one Bob was thinking of - it certainly should give folks pause when they think about investing via non-deductible contributions to a traditional IRA. Note, though, that there are some very contrived assumptions which make this exception the loser - in particular, the assumption of perfect tax efficiency. Moreover, there are still some advantages to having the money in the IRA versus having it in a taxable account - better protection against creditors, not counted for most college financial aid calculations, etc - and the ability to rebalance without causing taxable events. In other words, the Roth or the fully deductible IRA/401k are both always winners. The only questionable one is the non-deductible traditional IRA. -- Plain Bread alone for e-mail, thanks. The rest gets trashed. No HTML in E-Mail! -- http://www.expita.com/nomime.html Are you posting responses that are easy for others to follow? http://www.greenend.org.uk/rjk/2000/06/14/quoting |
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#24
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| Those fees are very high but I suspect he would also get the same level of fees in a taxable account considering he has a broker/advisor picking the investments for him. Reading up on Canada's RRSP, it sounds like an IRA with much higher contribution limits (18K per year). If desired, anybody could do a self-directed RRSP and save on all the fees. But some people just are more comfortable having paid experts make the decisions for them. Finance, investing, budgetting, taxes, etc. are tough issues for people to deal with. Not so much that it's all that complicated -- the barrier is mostly psychological. One of my coworkers has a daughter heading to college soon and a leased car that'll be way over the mileage limit. During chitchat, we'd ask what were her plans for saving/investing for those expenses and her answer was "just too much for me to deal with -- maybe 6 months later, I can think about it". Crazy because 6 months later, it'll be way harder to save up. My wife's friend wanted to start a college fund for her daughter. I looked through all the 529 plans, saw Ohio seemed to be the best for CA residents and pointed her to it. No dice, she did not want to open the account herself because her husband would scold her if she had to ask him for help managing the transactions (much less picking a fund that dropped in value for any period). I told her there was a Charles Schwab office around the block. Still not good enough, she needed somebody to make all decisions for her and chose Washington Mutual at 6% load -- not that 6% gets her any help because I still had to configure her online account, reset her password, etc. joetaxpayer wrote: - quote - > These fees are too high. So high I believe they wipe out the benefit of > the tax deferral. The types of funds you want should easily be found for > under .5%. An extra 1% per year will certainly drag your returns down. > There's no correlation between paying the higher fees and getting a > better return. |
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| question, reinvesting, returns |
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