|
#19
| |||
| |||
| Hmmm... Do you have enough money to pay off your mortgage? Are you fully funding your Roth IRA and/or company retirement plan? Generally, I prefer Growth Stock Mutual funds. They have averaged around 12% over the last 70 years and I plan on holding them for 30+ years. Best of Luck Al! Cheers, Menck |
|
#18
| |||
| |||
| "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message news:john-52AE1A.19080124012005[at]news.mpls.visi.com... - quote - > The problem with "sure thing" investments like CD and government
I thought that was the reason bonds are where you're supposed to put your> bonds is that the rate of return is so close to the rate of > inflation that you risk losing buying power over time. You > are sure to get back your investment, but that investment buys > far less stuff when you are done. To me, that is the worst > kind of risk of all--where you have locked your self into a > sure loser. Step up a category where at least you have a > chance of making a profit on the deal. short term money. We haven't been talking about duration in this thread. Were you buying longer-term bonds? Elizabeth Richardson |
|
#17
| |||
| |||
| "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote - quote - > The problem with "sure thing" investments like CD and government
Have you conflated some notions here?> bonds is that the rate of return is so close to the rate of > inflation that you risk losing buying power over time. I'm pretty sure five-year CDs (for one), have pretty consistently had coupons well above the annual inflation rate. - quote - > You
If by stepping up a category you mean buy stocks, then by doing so you also> are sure to get back your investment, but that investment buys > far less stuff when you are done. To me, that is the worst > kind of risk of all--where you have locked your self into a > sure loser. Step up a category where at least you have a > chance of making a profit on the deal. have a chance of losing your shirt. For retired people seeking income, IMO having a significant portion of one's portfolio in a bond/CD ladder makes a lot of sense to me. For people who have a longer horizon and are not seeking income, stocks make a lot of sense. |
|
#16
| |||
| |||
| In article <1106611182.391580.201830[at]z14g2000cwz.googlegroups.com> , "jdadverb" <jdadverb[at]yahoo.com> wrote: - quote - > I see your point that if the company goes under there's a good chance
The problem with "sure thing" investments like CD and government> that nobody gets anything, but you are just talking about corporate > bonds. "Bonds" also encompass government bonds which (at least in the > U.S.) are much safer than stocks. bonds is that the rate of return is so close to the rate of inflation that you risk losing buying power over time. You are sure to get back your investment, but that investment buys far less stuff when you are done. To me, that is the worst kind of risk of all--where you have locked your self into a sure loser. Step up a category where at least you have a chance of making a profit on the deal. -john- -- ================================================== ==================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ==================== |
|
#15
| |||
| |||
| In article <ysfJd.4737$r27.1033[at]newsread1.news.pas.earthlink.net> , "Elle Navorski" <elle_navorski[at]nospam.earthlink.net> wrote: - quote - > "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote
I don't recall what ComDisco was. At the time, they were big> snipping lots; trusting people can look back in the thread. > > I have never had a company go toes up where I owned > > stock, but I am a 3 time loser in picking bonds > > (ComDisco, WorldCom, MCI). I have never seen > > $15,000 turned into 25 cents so quickly in my > > entire life. > John, do you remember what the Moody/S&P ratings were on these bonds when > you purchased them? Their maturity? in disaster recovery...the company you go to when your company is facing a crisis. I only buy investment grade, so it had to be pretty highly rated. MCI and WorldCom had rave reviews. That was the problem...they were cooking the books and making it look like they were winning big while they were really teetering on bankruptcy. Things got out of hand one quarter, and all the dominos fell over, with both bond holders and stock holders left holding a $10-billion dollar bag. -john- -- ================================================== ==================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ==================== |
|
#14
| |||
| |||
| "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote snipping lots; trusting people can look back in the thread. - quote - > I have never had a company go toes up where I owned
John, do you remember what the Moody/S&P ratings were on these bonds when> stock, but I am a 3 time loser in picking bonds > (ComDisco, WorldCom, MCI). I have never seen > $15,000 turned into 25 cents so quickly in my > entire life. you purchased them? Their maturity? |
|
#13
| |||
| |||
| John A. Weeks III wrote: - quote - > The risk with bonds that I speak of is not interest rate risk,
I see your point that if the company goes under there's a good chance> it is the risk of the company going toes up. I have never had > a company go toes up where I owned stock, but I am a 3 time > loser in picking bonds (ComDisco, WorldCom, MCI). I have > never seen $15,000 turned into 25 cents so quickly in my > entire life. Had I spent that $15K on beer, I would of at > least had some aluminum to sell to a recycler. > Some people think that bonds are safer since they are in line > ahead of stockholders for any assets of the company. In reality, > with companies being highly leveraged these days, keeping no > inventory, and leasing all physical items, it would be highly > unusual for anything to be left for even the bond holders if a > modern top 1000 company goes under. As a result, I consider > bonds to be just as risky as stocks, but with half the return. that nobody gets anything, but you are just talking about corporate bonds. "Bonds" also encompass government bonds which (at least in the U.S.) are much safer than stocks. John Lee |
|
#12
| |||
| |||
| al wrote: - quote - > I'd like some opinions - don't need to be experts - just what you
I think that the stock market is your best option for maximizing yourthink is > the best way to invest $ at these different tiers. I would think there are > different options for these different levels of capital. return on investment. Of course, your risk will be high. Your return will depend on your ability to pick stocks or mutual funds. If you can't pick stocks, you may have problems with mutual funds. You can use options to increase or decrease your risk in the stock market. -- Ron |
|
#11
| |||
| |||
| Elli, I totally agree. I've been looking at what to do with my "safe" ( can't afford to loose principle) money. I was considering trying my hand at bonds, but have been able to do better with CD's. I look at Bankrate.com, then call some of the highest yielding places and they usually will even bump up another 15 to 25 basis points (I usually ask for a supervisor). Beats what I am seeing with bonds and the CD's are 100% guaranteed. Steve "Elle Navorski" <elle_navorski[at]nospam.earthlink.net> wrote in message news:H_VId.3875$r27.1828[at]newsread1.news.pas.earthlink.net... - quote - > Bonds don't have all the risk of stocks if you hold to maturity. > They often pay a higher interest rate than CDs. Of course, the risk is > somewhat more, depending on the bond rating. > OTOH, lately my bank is offering fixed rate and one-time adjustable rate > CDs that are paying better than high grade bonds. They are trumping bond > offerings (as seen at Fidelity) big-time. > I was going to build a bond ladder as part of my portfolio, but so far over > half of it is CDs. > "Robert Ricks" <stevericks[at]mindspring.com> wrote > > Just what I have always thought and have asked in newsgroups-why should > one > > buy them over CD's -but everyone still says buy bonds. |
|
#10
| |||
| |||
| In article <H_VId.3875$r27.1828[at]newsread1.news.pas.earthlink.net> , "Elle Navorski" <elle_navorski[at]nospam.earthlink.net> wrote: - quote - > Bonds don't have all the risk of stocks if you hold to maturity.
The risk with bonds that I speak of is not interest rate risk,> They often pay a higher interest rate than CDs. Of course, the risk is > somewhat more, depending on the bond rating. it is the risk of the company going toes up. I have never had a company go toes up where I owned stock, but I am a 3 time loser in picking bonds (ComDisco, WorldCom, MCI). I have never seen $15,000 turned into 25 cents so quickly in my entire life. Had I spent that $15K on beer, I would of at least had some aluminum to sell to a recycler. Some people think that bonds are safer since they are in line ahead of stockholders for any assets of the company. In reality, with companies being highly leveraged these days, keeping no inventory, and leasing all physical items, it would be highly unusual for anything to be left for even the bond holders if a modern top 1000 company goes under. As a result, I consider bonds to be just as risky as stocks, but with half the return. -john- -- ================================================== ==================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ==================== |
|
#9
| |||
| |||
| Bonds don't have all the risk of stocks if you hold to maturity. They often pay a higher interest rate than CDs. Of course, the risk is somewhat more, depending on the bond rating. OTOH, lately my bank is offering fixed rate and one-time adjustable rate CDs that are paying better than high grade bonds. They are trumping bond offerings (as seen at Fidelity) big-time. I was going to build a bond ladder as part of my portfolio, but so far over half of it is CDs. "Robert Ricks" <stevericks[at]mindspring.com> wrote - quote - > Just what I have always thought and have asked in newsgroups-why should one > buy them over CD's -but everyone still says buy bonds. |
|
#8
| |||
| |||
| John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message news:john- ". Bonds are the wildcard...they have almost - quote - > all the risk of stocks, yet they have less than half the return.
Just what I have always thought and have asked in newsgroups-why should onebuy them over CD's -but everyone still says buy bonds. Steve |
|
#7
| |||
| |||
| al wrote: - quote - > I'd like some opinions - don't need to be experts - just what you think is
The amount of capital you quoted is small. Liquidity isn't a problem> the best way to invest $ at these different tiers. I would think there are > different options for these different levels of capital. - invest based on risk preferences. - quote - > I have lousy credit so Real Estate a lousy option.
Real Estate is a basic investment - if you fail here, equity marketswill eat you. - quote - > I'd like something aggressive, I'm 40 with good income making ability and no
your credit rating.> debts other than mortgage. If you have good "income making ability" then be aggressive and build - quote - > Securities? Gold? A franchise? Non-profits? Bobble-head dolls??
You don't stand a chance - find a good FP before you turn old andgray. |
|
#6
| |||
| |||
| John A. Weeks III wrote: - quote - > In article <MduId.29904$SK6.22540[at]bignews3.bellsouth.net> ,
I tend to agree with John as to gold's value in your portfolio, but> "al" <abuse[at]bellsouth.net> wrote: > > Gold? > A true sucker play if there ever was one. Gold has no real > value, very few uses, it has no rate of return, the buy/sell > split is enormous, and you have to pay to store the damn stuff. there are gold ETFs now that at least eliminate the storage factor. Anyone have any thoughts on these ETFs? - quote - > > Bobble-head dolls??
Beenie Baby's are going to come back any day now. You'll see. > Ask the beenie-baby people how it worked out for them after they > paid $100 for beenies that are now worth less than 25 cents each? ![]() -Will |
|
#5
| |||
| |||
| In article <hJAId.891$G31.156[at]okepread05> , "Brent D. Gardner, ChFC" <bgardner20[at]cox.net> wrote: - quote - > "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message
Read carefully what I wrote. I said "new business". I never> news:john-51447A.13474322012005[at]news.mpls.visi.com... > > > A franchise? > > > 90%+ of new business fail within 5 years. That sounds even > > worse than the stock market since March of 2000. > Incorrect. According to a survey by the U .S. Commerce Department, the > percentage of businesses still operating after the first year -- compared to > independent businesses -- is 97% to 62 %. After five years, the comparison > is even more telling -- 92% of franchised businesses are still operating, > compared to 23% of independent businesses. After ten years. 90% of > franchised businesses are still operating. compared to 18% of independent > businesses. said anything about franchises. I don't know the numbers for franchises, but I will quote the US Government on the topic: - quote - > Starting a small business is always risky, and the chance of success is slim.
This comes directly off of the Small Business Administration home> According to the U.S. Small Business Administration, over 50% of small > businesses fail in the first year and 95% fail within the first five years. page, http://www.sba.gov/starting_business...eyouready.html. If you factor in that so many small businesses these days are one person operations where a person was converted from employee to contractor, and really isn't running a real business, we can see that about half of the 23% that you mention that survive really are not businesses at all. - quote - > I have to admit, I have an invaluable source in my practice -- an attorney
I think that a certain 30+ year attorney owes me an apology.> with 30+ years experience in franchise law. =) > He bust out laughing when he heard me read the false statistics given by > John Weeks. -john- -- ================================================== ==================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ==================== |
|
#4
| |||
| |||
| "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message news:john-51447A.13474322012005[at]news.mpls.visi.com... - quote - > > A franchise?
Incorrect. According to a survey by the U .S. Commerce Department, the> 90%+ of new business fail within 5 years. That sounds even > worse than the stock market since March of 2000. percentage of businesses still operating after the first year -- compared to independent businesses -- is 97% to 62 %. After five years, the comparison is even more telling -- 92% of franchised businesses are still operating, compared to 23% of independent businesses. After ten years. 90% of franchised businesses are still operating. compared to 18% of independent businesses. I have to admit, I have an invaluable source in my practice -- an attorney with 30+ years experience in franchise law. =) He bust out laughing when he heard me read the false statistics given by John Weeks. Brent D. Gardner, ChFC Chartered Financial Consultant http://www.brentdgardner.com/ http://www.gardnerfinancialgroup.com/ http://www.topgunproducers.com/ http://www.creditfixinc.com/ Si vis pacem para bellum! "Be ever questioning. Ignorance is not bliss. It is oblivion. You don't go to heaven if you die dumb. Become better informed. Learn from other's mistakes. You could not live long enough to make them all yourself." - Hyman George Rickover (1900-86), Admiral, US Navy, advocated development of nuclear subs & ships The Chartered Life Underwriter (CLU) and Chartered Financial Consultant (ChFC), designations owned and exclusively offered by The American College, signify the highest standards of academic study and professional excellence in the financial services industry. |
|
#3
| |||
| |||
| opinions? everyone will have one, be careful... 50K I would look into about 5-6 stock mutual funds, 100k I might venture into about 20 individual securities and 1-2 mutual funds. 200k I would go with 20-30 individual stocks and 1-2 mutual funds. |
|
#2
| |||
| |||
| Hi John - I appreciate your answers - they were very helpful. I noticed you have a phenomenal background in programming. Has this helped you to become a market tactician, or merely to confirm the efficient market theory? best regards, al (direct email is fake) |
|
#1
| |||
| |||
| If you have a nack for technology. Then I would sincerely recommend a Wireless Zone Franchise. They have an awesome ROI- some acquaintances have done well, not by luck. -DZM |
| | |||
| |||
| In article <MduId.29904$SK6.22540[at]bignews3.bellsouth.net> , "al" <abuse[at]bellsouth.net> wrote: - quote - > I'd like some opinions - don't need to be experts - just what you think is
There is no best way. To determine what is best, one would have to> the best way to invest $ at these different tiers. know the future. Since none of us knows what the future holds, we can only make guesses and take a shot at it. - quote - > Securities?
This is probably the safest way to go. Savings accounts, moneymarket, and the like almost never go broke. Stocks have a historic rate of return above 11%. Bonds are the wildcard...they have almost all the risk of stocks, yet they have less than half the return. - quote - > Gold?
A true sucker play if there ever was one. Gold has no realvalue, very few uses, it has no rate of return, the buy/sell split is enormous, and you have to pay to store the damn stuff. - quote - > A franchise?
90%+ of new business fail within 5 years. That sounds evenworse than the stock market since March of 2000. - quote - > Non-profits?
At least you wouldn't be dissapointed when you don't earn anythingsince you knew that going in with this one. How about sending it all for Tsunami relief? - quote - > Bobble-head dolls??
Ask the beenie-baby people how it worked out for them after theypaid $100 for beenies that are now worth less than 25 cents each? -john- -- ================================================== ==================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ==================== |
| Tags |
| $100k, $200k, $50k, invest |
Similar Threads | ||||
| Thread | Forum | Replies | Last Post | |
| Passive loss: $25K limit and $100K - $150K phaseout. John Gulbrandsen: From what I've learned passive losses from real-estate rentals can only be offset against other passive income (i.e. income from other rental... | Taxes | 3 | 05-25-2006 12:53 AM | |
| what would you do if you were to come into some money-more than 200k frank bruno: I have a friend that is part of a layoff but will be collecting more than 200k in stock options as part of the package. Where would you put some of... | Taxes | 6 | 09-17-2004 10:42 PM | |
| How much do I invest? jm: If I only have about five hundred dollars, is it better if I don't fool with the stock market? From what I can tell, I would need about... | Financial Planning | 5 | 04-25-2004 10:53 PM | |
| the 100k limit for home equity interest deduction Doug: I'm probably not the first person to think of this, but please let me know what you think. Suppose you bought a house w/ a 125k mortgage. Later,... | Taxes | 7 | 04-19-2004 08:46 PM | |
| Thread Tools | |
| Display Modes | |
| |