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| "Fred J. Tydeman" <tydeman[at]tybor.com> wrote in message news:<40FB0357.51D67489[at]tybor.com> ... - quote - > beliavsky[at]aol.com wrote:
The Oppenheimer Real Asset Fund has underperformed its benchmark of> > > A recent paper has found that a portfolio of long commodity futures, > > equally-weighted and rebalanced monthly, has had about the same Sharpe > > (return/risk) ratio as stocks, but with a negative correlation to > > stocks and bonds, over the period 1959-2004. > What mutual funds (open ended or closed ended) or ETFs come close to > that kind of investment? > I am aware of these "indexes" > Goldman Sachs commodity index > Dow Jones - AIG commodity index > Rogers International commodity index the GSCI. See http://www.financialadvisormagazine....spotlight.html ... (Note to moderator: my initial message seems to have disappeared from the Google Usenet archive. Any idea why?) |
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| beliavsky[at]aol.com wrote: - quote - > A recent paper has found that a portfolio of long commodity futures,
What mutual funds (open ended or closed ended) or ETFs come close to> equally-weighted and rebalanced monthly, has had about the same Sharpe > (return/risk) ratio as stocks, but with a negative correlation to > stocks and bonds, over the period 1959-2004. that kind of investment? I am aware of these "indexes" Goldman Sachs commodity index Dow Jones - AIG commodity index Rogers International commodity index I also am aware that a portfolio of equal weight of US Bonds US Stocks Commodities Real Estate (via REITs) has done better than any one of those assets, and with less risk. --- Fred J. Tydeman Tydeman Consulting tydeman[at]tybor.com Programming, testing, numerics +1 (775) 287-5904 Vice-chair of J11 (ANSI "C") Sample C99+FPCE tests: ftp://jump.net/pub/tybor/ Savers sleep well, investors eat well, spenders work forever. |
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| A recent paper has found that a portfolio of long commodity futures, equally-weighted and rebalanced monthly, has had about the same Sharpe (return/risk) ratio as stocks, but with a negative correlation to stocks and bonds, over the period 1959-2004. Transaction costs would reduce the historical return of commodities, but I don't know by how much. Securitized commodity investments may be worth considering for investors, for part of their portfolios. The paper can be downloaded from http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.c...ract_id=560042 . Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures K. GEERT ROUWENHORST Yale School of Management, International Center for Finance GARY GORTON University of Pennsylvania - Finance Department; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Yale ICF Working Paper No. 04-20 Abstract: We construct an equally-weighted index of commodity futures monthly returns over the period between July of 1959 and March of 2004 in order to study simple properties of commodity futures as an asset class. Fully-collateralized commodity futures have historically offered the same return and Sharpe ratio as equities. While the risk premium on commodity futures is essentially the same as equities, commodity futures returns are negatively correlated with equity returns and bond returns. The negative correlation between commodity futures and the other asset classes is due, in significant part, to different behavior over the business cycle. In addition, commodity futures are positively correlated with inflation, unexpected inflation, and changes in expected inflation. JEL Classifications: G2, G15, N2 |
| Tags |
| commodity, futures, returns |
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