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#13
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| "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message news:<011220031828553335%john[at]johnweeks.com> ... - quote - > In article
A person can also reduce the need for cash by improving cash flow> <i7Oyb.137552$Ec1.5620742[at]bgtnsc05-news.ops.worldnet.att.net> , > Elizabeth Richardson <erichktn[at]worldnet.att.net> wrote: > > Does this mean that you think one should have zero cash? > Not at all. Cash is handy to have for emergencies and buying > opportunities. But don't keep the majority of your nest egg > in cash because you think it is 100% safe. Rather, it is just > the opposite, cash is the only common investment that is going > to for sure be a loser. Keeping cash has a cost...don't have > any more in your account than what is prudent to pay for. through staggering CDs and bonds so that they become due on a regular basis. As your interest income goes up, you will have less of a need for cash on hand. Many brokers will give low cost loans against your stock holdings reducing your need for cash. -- Ron |
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#12
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| "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message news:<011220031032058355%john[at]johnweeks.com> ... - quote - > In article <576dnas0x7XUylaiRVn-iQ[at]comcast.com> , Nashville Pete
Well there is at least some risk of deflation. Services tend to cost> <poremski[at]comcast.net> wrote: > > > But cash? Cash is supposed to be *safe*. Why speculate with it? > Actually, cash is a garanteed loser. The problem is that goods > and services continue to cost more and more each year. more, but goods (adjusted for hedonic pricing ie for quality improvements) on average cost a bit less. Japan appears to be coming out of a period of effective deflation which has lasted 4-5 years. Germany is very close to deflation. I agree that the US looks like it will escape such. |
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#11
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| In article <i7Oyb.137552$Ec1.5620742[at]bgtnsc05-news.ops.worldnet.att.net> , Elizabeth Richardson <erichktn[at]worldnet.att.net> wrote: - quote - > "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message
Note, I fixed a typo above, I meant "safe", whereas I typed "save"> news:011220031032058355%john[at]johnweeks.com... > > > The result is that in order to be "safe", you cannot be in cash. > > You have to be in stocks, bonds, or other instruments that have > > a higher rate of return, and you need foriegn exposure at some > > level to keep up with the Jose and Rojesh's of the world. in the original posting. - quote - > Does this mean that you think one should have zero cash?
Not at all. Cash is handy to have for emergencies and buyingopportunities. But don't keep the majority of your nest egg in cash because you think it is 100% safe. Rather, it is just the opposite, cash is the only common investment that is going to for sure be a loser. Keeping cash has a cost...don't have any more in your account than what is prudent to pay for. -john- -- ================================================== ================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ================== |
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#10
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| "John A. Weeks III" <john[at]johnweeks.com> wrote in message news:011220031032058355%john[at]johnweeks.com... - quote - > The result is that in order to be "save", you cannot be in cash.
Does this mean that you think one should have zero cash?> You have to be in stocks, bonds, or other instruments that have > a higher rate of return, and you need foriegn exposure at some > level to keep up with the Jose and Rojesh's of the world. Elizabeth Richardson |
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#9
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| In article <576dnas0x7XUylaiRVn-iQ[at]comcast.com> , Nashville Pete <poremski[at]comcast.net> wrote: - quote - > > But cash? Cash is supposed to be *safe*. Why speculate with it?
Actually, cash is a garanteed loser. The problem is that goodsand services continue to cost more and more each year. Cash stays the same, or if you have it in a money market, it gains very little. For example, the CPI is up 2.3% already in 2003, with energy costs being up almost 15%. Anyone holding cash has lost purchasing value. If you look back in history, this is almost always the case, holding cash or cash equivalents is a sure loser. To make matters worse, we are now in a global economy, competing with people across the world. With so much of our goods (and more recently, services) coming from across the globe, we also have to consider currency risk. When the US dollar goes down in value, it takes more of our dollars to by the things that we need from Target or Wal-Mart. In the recent past, the US Dollar is down quite significantly. The result is that in order to be "save", you cannot be in cash. You have to be in stocks, bonds, or other instruments that have a higher rate of return, and you need foriegn exposure at some level to keep up with the Jose and Rojesh's of the world. -john- -- ================================================== ================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ================== |
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#8
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| - quote - > But cash? Cash is supposed to be *safe*. Why speculate with it?
It all gets down to how one feels about the future. I believe the US is inIraq (and Germany and France opposed our actions) because in 2000 the UN allowed Iraq to sell it's oil for Euro's thus threatening the US Petrodollar dominance of the world financial system. Venezuela is already bartering for it's oil throughout South and Central America and threatens US influence in the area and is an additional threat to the petrodollar monopoly. The political/economic situation in Iraq looks bleak and I believe we are in for a sea change which threatens the Global position of the US $. Should China look to Europe as it's next source of growth and investment diversity it might decide to index it's currency to both US$ and Euro, or at a minimum, diversify it's investments toward Europe.. Europe has been reducing it's US debt and equity holdings, should Japan and China choose to rebalance holdings to include Euro denominated investments we will surely see a further drop in the stock markets, an increase in interest rates, inflation, and an erosion of the dollar vs other currencies. I think it is only prudent to diversify. Diversification is not speculation but rather the foundation of portfolio management. And why not diversify your cash position? |
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#7
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| "Nashville Pete" <poremski[at]comcast.net> wrote in message news:<wsmdnXOvlPbJ1VeiRVn-vA[at]comcast.com> ... - quote - > > The key here is currency risk.
1. the US is the number 1 financier of the IMF and World Bank: largely> > > While I, too, believe the dollar will fall, no professional forecaster > > has a better than random record of forecasting the dollar (ie throwing > > darts at a board has the same chance of being right). > > > So I do not recommend taking on currency risk for the safest part of > > your portfolio. Normally interest rates are higher in other countries > > for a reason, which makes their currencies more vulnerable. > > > If you want to take on currency risk, a better place to do it is by > > buying a diversified international equity fund that does not hedge > > currency. > Sorry, but that's Buggy whip thinking. > The US$ no longer dominates. Argentina has told the IMF and World Bank to > "go the Hell" since it no longer needs the Petrodollar to buy Venezuelan oil > under recent bilateral agreements. The exclusive Petrodollar is soon doomed > to extinction as Oil will be bartered or bought for Euro's as well as US $. > That will end the domination of the US dollar as the sole international > trade currency. You can see it in the rise of Gold and the continuous drop > of the dollar. The IMF and World Bank will see it's power reduced. they do what is in the US' best interest (see Stiglitz for a very good explanation). They don't call it the 'Washington Consensus' for no reason. Suffice it to say that I believe the rumours of the dollar's demise as the international currency of reserve and trade are much exaggerated. Maybe it is living so close to the clowns in euro-land, you can bet that there is no obvious replacement to the dollar. At the very least, no one else is going to export so many dollars (run a current account deficit) of that scale. The dollar fell by more in the late 80s, but remained the international currency then. Unless, of course, you believe that the Bush II deficit is so large that the US is heading towards an Argentina-like collapse of confidence in its currency... - quote - > The real risk is not to diversify the cash part of a portfolio beyond the US
In which case, shouldn't you be holding real return bonds (ie TIPS)?> dollar as the dollar declines and we get hit with the upcoming inflation > that the FED has guaranteed us with their past money supply policy. Partial inflation hedge replaced by a perfect inflation hedge? Why - quote - > concentrate too much in risky equity funds, especially foreign funds where
You mean like Enron, Tyco and Worldcom? Oops, they were American> the managers find it easy the screw and rob the shareholders? companies ;-). The fact is, the PEs on many markets discount the governance issues, at least relative to the PEs on the American market. No markets look cheap, but the US looks very expensive. There is no - quote - > reason to risk money in a stock fund when one can place one's holdings in
Nice hedge as long as you know that you can take the losses if it goes> various CD's guaranteed by the FDIC and diversified in various currencies > i.e. Sterling, Euro, AUS$, CAN$, etc. Some CD's at everbank World Markets > are indexed to a package of currencies with a unique exchange and interest > rate. wrong. Holding your own currency, you cannot (directly) take a hit on exchange rates. If I had a major liability or expense upcoming in Canadian dollars, say, I would hold C$. If I was trying to diversify my equity portfolio globally, I would add a global equity fund. But cash? Cash is supposed to be *safe*. Why speculate with it? |
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#6
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| "Jay" <jayesh131[at]hotmail.com> wrote in message news:OlLxb.1246$jr3.1011[at]newssvr33.news.prodigy.com... - quote - > I have 60% of my money sitting in Money Market Funds that is yielding
Do you own any personal life insurance?> probably 0.75%. What is a better alternative with similar risk-return > characteristics. May be, a little more risk than Money Market Funds but not > like the usual Equity and Bond Funds. I do not mind tying it in for 6 months > to a year. Many of the better companies have a Premium Deposit Fund, some of which pay as much as 4.00% and even 5.50%, while remaining completely liquid. State laws vary, but as an example, in my state you can pre-pay up to 20 years worth of premiums and earn current interest on this fund. When I need money, I call the company and they send me a check. Current interest is based on the general account returns of the company, and since the company 'expects' these funds to become premiums in the future, they credit them with interest that just happens to be pretty good right now, comparatively speaking. Most funds interest rates change periodically, but some guarantee their interest rate for longer than one year. Some companies use a Pre-Paid Discount Pool. It allows you to pre-pay future years premiums, with imputed taxable income in the year the discount is applied, but doesn't really pay interest you can spend and while liquid, probably isn't what you're looking for. Agents learn of these funds early in their career, but soon forget about them, because they do not pay any commission. I use them in my practice as an emergency fund or savings account, becaue they are paying better than all the alternatives I can find, with little risk. Brent D. Gardner, ChFC Chartered Financial Consultant http://members.cox.net/brentdgardner1378/ "Be ever questioning. Ignorance is not bliss. It is oblivion. You don't go to heaven if you die dumb. Become better informed. Learn from other's mistakes. You could not live long enough to make them all yourself." - Hyman George Rickover (1900-86), Admiral, US Navy, advocated development of nuclear subs & ships |
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#5
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| - quote - > The key here is currency risk.
Sorry, but that's Buggy whip thinking.> While I, too, believe the dollar will fall, no professional forecaster > has a better than random record of forecasting the dollar (ie throwing > darts at a board has the same chance of being right). > So I do not recommend taking on currency risk for the safest part of > your portfolio. Normally interest rates are higher in other countries > for a reason, which makes their currencies more vulnerable. > If you want to take on currency risk, a better place to do it is by > buying a diversified international equity fund that does not hedge > currency. The US$ no longer dominates. Argentina has told the IMF and World Bank to "go the Hell" since it no longer needs the Petrodollar to buy Venezuelan oil under recent bilateral agreements. The exclusive Petrodollar is soon doomed to extinction as Oil will be bartered or bought for Euro's as well as US $. That will end the domination of the US dollar as the sole international trade currency. You can see it in the rise of Gold and the continuous drop of the dollar. The IMF and World Bank will see it's power reduced. The real risk is not to diversify the cash part of a portfolio beyond the US dollar as the dollar declines and we get hit with the upcoming inflation that the FED has guaranteed us with their past money supply policy. Why concentrate too much in risky equity funds, especially foreign funds where the managers find it easy the screw and rob the shareholders? There is no reason to risk money in a stock fund when one can place one's holdings in various CD's guaranteed by the FDIC and diversified in various currencies i.e. Sterling, Euro, AUS$, CAN$, etc. Some CD's at everbank World Markets are indexed to a package of currencies with a unique exchange and interest rate. |
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#4
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| "Nashville Pete" <poremski[at]comcast.net> wrote in message news:<e9ydndqRjpT_VVWiRVn-hA[at]comcast.com> ... - quote - > Look at World Currency Certificate of Deposit Accounts at everbank World
The key here is currency risk.> Markets www.everbank.com There are CD's in Euro's and AUS$ guaranteed by > the FDIC yielding 1.25% and 4%. You do have a currency risk but frankly I > believe the US$ is headed downward over the next 1-2 years at a minimum time > frame. You get an extra kicker if the dollar declines further. While I, too, believe the dollar will fall, no professional forecaster has a better than random record of forecasting the dollar (ie throwing darts at a board has the same chance of being right). So I do not recommend taking on currency risk for the safest part of your portfolio. Normally interest rates are higher in other countries for a reason, which makes their currencies more vulnerable. If you want to take on currency risk, a better place to do it is by buying a diversified international equity fund that does not hedge currency. - quote - > Another choice is put your money in I-bonds. Buy them at your local bank > branch. They are inflation protected government bonds available in as small > denominations as $25 and up to $10,000. You can ladder them over time. > Yields change every quarter. I have some money in Euro and AUS$ CD's and > I-bonds. I think there is an early redemption charge on I Bonds? |
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#3
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| Jay wrote: - quote - > I have 60% of my money sitting in Money Market Funds that is yielding
Some of the most attractive aspects of MMF are that the $ is accessible> probably 0.75%. What is a better alternative with similar risk-return > characteristics. May be, a little more risk than Money Market Funds but not > like the usual Equity and Bond Funds. I do not mind tying it in for 6 months > to a year. at any time by writing a check, interest rates are reset regularly to reflect current rates, and there's an extremely low risk of losing money. You usually need to give up one or all of these by going to CDs, bond funds, or savings bonds. One notch higher in interest rates, with little added risk, would be a short-term, FDIC-insured CD with a bank. Something like 3 or 6 months for example. You could even open several, at intervals, so there's one coming due every month or two (if that's what you want). Current rates for a bunch of banks are posted at www.money-rates.com -Tad |
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#2
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| Look at World Currency Certificate of Deposit Accounts at everbank World Markets www.everbank.com There are CD's in Euro's and AUS$ guaranteed by the FDIC yielding 1.25% and 4%. You do have a currency risk but frankly I believe the US$ is headed downward over the next 1-2 years at a minimum time frame. You get an extra kicker if the dollar declines further. Another choice is put your money in I-bonds. Buy them at your local bank branch. They are inflation protected government bonds available in as small denominations as $25 and up to $10,000. You can ladder them over time. Yields change every quarter. I have some money in Euro and AUS$ CD's and I-bonds. Good luck. "Jay" <jayesh131[at]hotmail.com> wrote in message news:OlLxb.1246$jr3.1011[at]newssvr33.news.prodigy.com... - quote - > I have 60% of my money sitting in Money Market Funds that is yielding > probably 0.75%. What is a better alternative with similar risk-return > characteristics. May be, a little more risk than Money Market Funds but not > like the usual Equity and Bond Funds. I do not mind tying it in for 6 months > to a year. > Thanks, > Jay |
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#1
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| "Jay" <jayesh131[at]hotmail.com> wrote in message news:<OlLxb.1246$jr3.1011[at]newssvr33.news.prodigy.com> ... - quote - > I have 60% of my money sitting in Money Market Funds that is yielding
There are the following options:> probably 0.75%. What is a better alternative with similar risk-return > characteristics. May be, a little more risk than Money Market Funds but not > like the usual Equity and Bond Funds. I do not mind tying it in for 6 months > to a year. > Thanks, > Jay - Go to money-rates.com and find a higher interest CD/savings account (typically around 2% these days) - Invest in i-bonds. Requires a 5 year holding period or you lose 3 months interest. Earnings are exempt from state and local income tax, and federal income tax can be deferred until you sell. Was a better deal until the beginning of this November when the rate fell to 2.19%. - Find a short-term bond fund. But with these, even though there have historically been no years when they might have negative returns, there is no guarantee that it will never happen. Anoop |
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| "Jay" <jayesh131[at]hotmail.com> writes: - quote - > I have 60% of my money sitting in Money Market Funds that is yielding
ING Direct (http://www.ingdirect.com) pays 2.00% on its no-minimum,> probably 0.75%. What is a better alternative with similar risk-return > characteristics. no-fee, FDIC-insured savings account. -- Rich Carreiro rlcarr[at]animato.arlington.ma.us |
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#-1
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| I have 60% of my money sitting in Money Market Funds that is yielding probably 0.75%. What is a better alternative with similar risk-return characteristics. May be, a little more risk than Money Market Funds but not like the usual Equity and Bond Funds. I do not mind tying it in for 6 months to a year. Thanks, Jay |
| Tags |
| alternative, funds, market, money |
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