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#8
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| On Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:52:36 CST, darkness39[at]yahoo.com (darkness) wrote: - quote - > > > > This is the biggest risk. www.efficientfrontier.com had a series in
Yes, an annuity (or consuming capital) is an option, although not> > > the online journal called 'the retirement calculator from hell' which > > > showed the effects of withdrawing capital in a bear market. > > > Ok then, are there any risk-free alternatives to reducing the > > investor's standard of living? (Assume that the investor cannot > > return to work for medical reasons.) > No other than spending capital (ie the same thing, effectively, as an > annuity: except the annuity transfers the risk of living too long to > someone else. If you are in poor health or have lifestyle issues > (smoking) then an annuity can be very good value). "risk free". In the event that you die soon, it will prove to have been a value. Except to heirs, of course. <grin But the risk is living long - and the eroding purchasing power (fixed annuity). Again, an annuity can be an option, just not risk free. So I maintain that there are no risk free alternatives to lifestyle reduction. -HW "Skip" Weldon Columbia, SC |
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#7
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| "HW \"Skip\" Weldon" <skip5700removethis[at]hotmail.com> wrote in message news:<l427rv0j3chrudh2u28huacqut5lmb216d[at]4ax.com> ... - quote - > On Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:29:00 CST, darkness39[at]yahoo.com (darkness)
No other than spending capital (ie the same thing, effectively, as an> wrote: > > This is the biggest risk. www.efficientfrontier.com had a series in > > the online journal called 'the retirement calculator from hell' which > > showed the effects of withdrawing capital in a bear market. > Ok then, are there any risk-free alternatives to reducing the > investor's standard of living? (Assume that the investor cannot > return to work for medical reasons.) annuity: except the annuity transfers the risk of living too long to someone else. If you are in poor health or have lifestyle issues (smoking) then an annuity can be very good value). - quote - > -HW "Skip" Weldon > Columbia, SC |
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#6
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| "HW \"Skip\" Weldon" <skip5700removethis[at]hotmail.com> wrote in message news:<l427rv0j3chrudh2u28huacqut5lmb216d[at]4ax.com> ... - quote - > On Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:29:00 CST, darkness39[at]yahoo.com (darkness)
Purchasing an annuity might work if the person is old enough. A 60> wrote: > > This is the biggest risk. www.efficientfrontier.com had a series in > > the online journal called 'the retirement calculator from hell' which > > showed the effects of withdrawing capital in a bear market. > Ok then, are there any risk-free alternatives to reducing the > investor's standard of living? (Assume that the investor cannot > return to work for medical reasons.) year old male can probably get a 7% annuity and an 80 year old male can probably get a 11% annuity. Of course, you really want to have a good chance of reaching old age (non-smoker, no diabetes, cancer, or heart disease) before you buy an annuity. It would be better to wait until interest rates go up before buying an annuity. -- Ron |
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#5
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| On Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:29:00 CST, darkness39[at]yahoo.com (darkness) wrote: - quote - > This is the biggest risk. www.efficientfrontier.com had a series in
Ok then, are there any risk-free alternatives to reducing the> the online journal called 'the retirement calculator from hell' which > showed the effects of withdrawing capital in a bear market. investor's standard of living? (Assume that the investor cannot return to work for medical reasons.) -HW "Skip" Weldon Columbia, SC |
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#4
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| zhendsch[at]yahoo.com (zak) wrote in message news:<a7a1bede.0311100432.2314883c[at]posting.google.com> ... - quote - > palme[at]sympatico.ca (tbp) wrote in message news:<7cfb8980.0311081006.50d59d77[at]posting.google.com> ...
Getting 7% in the current environment involves taking on a fair degree> > > A reasonable rule of thumb is that one can safely withdraw about 4%-5% > of one's portfolio a year (which is why insurance agents try to sell > 20 times annual income worth of insurance). The 4% is based on a > portfolio return of about 7% and inflation of 3% a year. of risk: A grade corporate bonds do not, AFAIK, yield 7%. In other - quote - > words your $250K would earn $17,500 (7%), you could spend $10,000 (4%)
This is the biggest risk. www.efficientfrontier.com had a series in> and leave $7500 (3%) in the account so that the balance grows with > inflation. That way next years 4% withdrawal from 257,500 will be > $10,300 (or $10,000 adjusted for 3% inflation). > So that is 10K a year (~800/month) you can get from 250K without > touching the principle. To get returns (and therefore withdrawal > rates) even this good, though, you require a diverisfied portfolio of > stocks and bonds. You can see from other posts how much worse you do > with just CD's or bonds, even without inflation adjustment. There is > a price you pay: uneven returns. You may have to downsize your > withdrawal in bad years for the market. the online journal called 'the retirement calculator from hell' which showed the effects of withdrawing capital in a bear market. |
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#3
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| palme[at]sympatico.ca (tbp) wrote in message news:<7cfb8980.0311081006.50d59d77[at]posting.google.com> ... - quote - > Hello,
A reasonable rule of thumb is that one can safely withdraw about 4%-5%> As an new student to financial planning, there seems to be many > calculations and I am not understanding some fundamentals. So, here > is one question that I cannot quite figure out. > Here is the problem. If a person living in California, USA were to get > a lump sum of $250,000 US in 2004, could that person live comfortably > off the interest if that sum was saved in a bank? What would be their > monthly income? > How does one calculate this? As the $250,000 is hypothetical, what is > a base amount to work from? I am supposing the country and > state/region/etc., the amount, a bank interest rate, the year are > enough factors with which to figure out the problem. I am also > supposing that the formula could be used for any country. > Any assistance would help tremendously as I forge through the myriad > of information in financial education! > Tia of one's portfolio a year (which is why insurance agents try to sell 20 times annual income worth of insurance). The 4% is based on a portfolio return of about 7% and inflation of 3% a year. In other words your $250K would earn $17,500 (7%), you could spend $10,000 (4%) and leave $7500 (3%) in the account so that the balance grows with inflation. That way next years 4% withdrawal from 257,500 will be $10,300 (or $10,000 adjusted for 3% inflation). So that is 10K a year (~800/month) you can get from 250K without touching the principle. To get returns (and therefore withdrawal rates) even this good, though, you require a diverisfied portfolio of stocks and bonds. You can see from other posts how much worse you do with just CD's or bonds, even without inflation adjustment. There is a price you pay: uneven returns. You may have to downsize your withdrawal in bad years for the market. On the other hand, for every 10 years that you don't touch money, you can expect it to double. So in 10 years you'd have 500K (able to generate 20K/year income) and in 20 years you'd have a million (40K/year income). |
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#2
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| In article <7cfb8980.0311081006.50d59d77[at]posting.google.com> , tbp <palme[at]sympatico.ca> wrote: - quote - > If a person living in California, USA were to get
Of course, depending on what you mean by "comfortably". Depending on> a lump sum of $250,000 US in 2004, could that person live comfortably > off the interest if that sum was saved in a bank? interest rates, you could get $500 to $1000 per month. If you have a small plot of land with a reasonable home that is paid off, and you tend your own garden and have a few domestic animals, you should be able to live like a king. Just look at the Unibomber...he lived happily on almost no income, yet still had money to travel and funds for building bombs. -john- -- ================================================== ================== John A. Weeks III 952-432-2708 john[at]johnweeks.com Newave Communications http://www.johnweeks.com ================================================== ================== |
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#1
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| tbp wrote: - quote - > Hello, > As an new student to financial planning, there seems to be many > calculations and I am not understanding some fundamentals. So, here > is one question that I cannot quite figure out. > Here is the problem. If a person living in California, USA were to get > a lump sum of $250,000 US in 2004, could that person live comfortably > off the interest if that sum was saved in a bank? What would be their > monthly income? NO..........NO........NO......... - quote - > How does one calculate this? As the $250,000 is hypothetical, what is
You would simply select a "typical interest rate"> a base amount to work from? I am supposing the country and > state/region/etc., the amount, a bank interest rate, the year are > enough factors with which to figure out the problem. I am also > supposing that the formula could be used for any country. multiply $250K by that rate, divided by 12 to arrive at a monthly income. 250,000 X 1.5% / 12 could produce ....... $312.50 per month Do you think that you could live on that ANYPLACE in the world....... -- Childhood is a time of rapid changes. Between the ages of twelve and seventeen, a parent can age 30 years. Sam Levenson. This signature file is generated by Pick-a-Tag ! Written by jeroen[at]vanbaarsel.net |
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| palme[at]sympatico.ca (tbp) writes: - quote - > Here is the problem. If a person living in California, USA were to get
Well, if one looks hard enough, one can probably find> a lump sum of $250,000 US in 2004, could that person live comfortably > off the interest if that sum was saved in a bank? What would be their > monthly income? a 5-year CD yielding as high as 4.50%. That will throw off around $11,250 per year, or $937.50 per month. I think it's safe to say that one couldn't live on $937.50/mo in California. - quote - > How does one calculate this?
Go back to beginning algebra (or financial formulae).Income = Principal x Interest rate per unit time x Time (for simple interest) -- Rich Carreiro rlcarr[at]animato.arlington.ma.us |
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#-1
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| Hello, As an new student to financial planning, there seems to be many calculations and I am not understanding some fundamentals. So, here is one question that I cannot quite figure out. Here is the problem. If a person living in California, USA were to get a lump sum of $250,000 US in 2004, could that person live comfortably off the interest if that sum was saved in a bank? What would be their monthly income? How does one calculate this? As the $250,000 is hypothetical, what is a base amount to work from? I am supposing the country and state/region/etc., the amount, a bank interest rate, the year are enough factors with which to figure out the problem. I am also supposing that the formula could be used for any country. Any assistance would help tremendously as I forge through the myriad of information in financial education! Tia |
| Tags |
| interest, living |
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